Show Idle (>14 d.) Chans


← 2022-02-28 | 2022-03-02 →
00:09 thimbronion 200 day moving average is roughly 20k
00:13 thimbronion er, hm, I meant week
00:14 thimbronion moves up only
~ 23 minutes ~
00:37 * thimbronion formally requests from shinohai 200 wma stat from busybot
00:48 shinohai $mabtc
00:50 shinohai $mabtc
00:50 shinohai well I tried thimbronion lol
00:50 thimbronion shinohai: lol
00:55 verisimilitude I use Namecheap, how wonderful: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30504812
00:59 shinohai $mabtc
00:59 busybot The 200 day moving avg. for BTC is 45,556.47 USD
00:59 shinohai ^ thimbronion
01:03 thimbronion shinohai: Ah actually was wanting the 200 week moving average. Sorry for the confusion: http://logs.nosuchlabs.com/log/asciilifeform/2022-02-28#1081478
01:03 dulapbot Logged on 2022-02-28 19:12:54 thimbronion: er, hm, I meant week
01:03 thimbronion 200 day is still pretty volatile
01:05 shinohai Hmm might hafta dig a bit to find source for the 200 wk data.
~ 39 minutes ~
01:44 verisimilitude No, I use Moniker; I'm not paying attention very well.
01:45 verisimilitude I see the price for verisimilitudes.com is $3,493.75, I figure due to me.
~ 1 hours 26 minutes ~
03:12 mats rip ukr
03:13 mats putin took one for the team; now the whole world knows without a doubt that dollars are not fungible
03:14 asciilifeform mats: this in re ukrowank overall, or specific event today ?
03:14 mats bit stale, but the theft of ru central bank money
03:14 asciilifeform a
03:14 mats the so-called rules based international order will not respect property rights
03:15 asciilifeform quite the mpexing eh
03:17 mats ofac has gone quite a bit further than just robbing a bunch of muslim charities, the odd casino in macau, a rando chinese corp that washed money into north korea
03:17 asciilifeform wai putin didn't ~start~ with selling off his mpex^H^H^H^Hreichsbank holdings (or for that matter wai to do all of this nao rather than in '14) remains mystery
03:17 mats could've traded it all for rmb
03:18 mats painting the man into a corner makes the risk of tactical nuking of a ukr city so much more plausible now
03:21 asciilifeform mats: asciilifeform's guess is that he's hobbled by traitorous ministers who already reserved villas in miami. is the only half-plausible explanation for over9000 'whys'
03:22 asciilifeform (see also)
03:22 dulapbot Logged on 2022-02-28 12:15:17 asciilifeform: fwiw if ru had its shit together (i.e. had been fully de-eltsinized) there'd be no ukrs, the latter would've been rm -rf'd no later than '14
03:23 asciilifeform ( historians scratching heads re 'stalin purges' -- scratch no moar, here's wathappens when yer 'soft' and refrain )
03:23 mats at least we'll have bitcorns to eat
03:23 asciilifeform $ticker btc usd
03:23 busybot Current BTC price in USD: $42986.83
03:24 asciilifeform ^ lol just the usual atmospheric hiss
03:24 mats the one escape from all this totalitarian shite
03:24 asciilifeform mats: will be lulzy if the pinched dough goes straight to 'buy up btc to dump'
03:25 asciilifeform ( buy, naturally, 'from dark', dump -- on public goxes )
03:29 asciilifeform continuing w/ this pov -- exactly 0 stopped ru from at any pt in past decade demanding btc payment for gas etc
03:29 dulapbot Logged on 2022-02-28 22:21:08 asciilifeform: mats: asciilifeform's guess is that he's hobbled by traitorous ministers who already reserved villas in miami. is the only half-plausible explanation for over9000 'whys'
03:29 asciilifeform nuffin except miamiism.
~ 24 minutes ~
03:53 verisimilitude So many people are going to commit suicide when SHA256 is broken.
03:55 verisimilitude Imagine an alien watching that, watching bloodlines end because of a mathematical discovery.
04:05 asciilifeform 'pssst... p==np' ... wagner,cyanide
04:08 asciilifeform verisimilitude: subj has loong history in log btw, if yer curious.
04:08 dulapbot (trilema) 2016-10-20 asciilifeform: you - yes, me - yes ; fella with the sha2 pill - ~0.
04:08 dulapbot Logged on 2020-05-10 21:34:28 asciilifeform: *sha2
04:09 asciilifeform ( see also various thrds re 'rsa pill', for completeness )
04:21 asciilifeform http://logs.nosuchlabs.com/log/asciilifeform/2022-02-28#1081485 << lulzy. asciilifeform has coupla reichdns parked there, but still not kicked out! (where to complain?? or must suppose, asciilifeform's street creds as 'putler stooge' are weak..)
04:21 dulapbot Logged on 2022-02-28 19:55:00 verisimilitude: I use Namecheap, how wonderful: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30504812
04:22 asciilifeform funnily enuff orig. went to it from mp's rec.
04:24 asciilifeform apropos, his www currently sitting in ukristan (formerly moscow, iirc last yr sumbody moved it)
04:27 verisimilitude One would think a name like Stanislav would be dedicated even with their poor heuristic methods.
04:28 verisimilitude s/dedicated/detected/
04:28 asciilifeform verisimilitude: could just as readily be an upstanding ukr or polack tho
04:29 * asciilifeform in fact per usg considered, shit thee not, an ukr
04:30 verisimilitude People were complaining about such methods in the discussion, in any case.
04:30 asciilifeform verisimilitude: seems that they banned folx who (at some pt) hosted in ru
04:30 * asciilifeform funnily enuff made # of (failed) attempts to find sane hoster in ru (& elsewhere)
04:35 asciilifeform http://logs.nosuchlabs.com/log/asciilifeform/2022-02-28#1081505 << wet dream of the lizards.
04:35 dulapbot Logged on 2022-02-28 22:18:26 mats: painting the man into a corner makes the risk of tactical nuking of a ukr city so much more plausible now
04:35 dulapbot (trilema) 2016-08-13 asciilifeform: 'kick the dog till it bites, then shoot it' is standard anglo approach, from boer war, to ww2 japan, to every poor motherfucker like the one in link
04:36 asciilifeform in light of the man having no hands of his own not impossible dream tho.
04:36 dulapbot Logged on 2022-02-28 22:21:08 asciilifeform: mats: asciilifeform's guess is that he's hobbled by traitorous ministers who already reserved villas in miami. is the only half-plausible explanation for over9000 'whys'
04:37 * signpost falls into a well of 2016 threads.
04:41 signpost verisimilitude: looks like namecheap's CTO is from ukr.
04:42 signpost probably one of these populist uprisings inside a tech company like keep happening (see also: joe rogan and spotify)
04:42 asciilifeform hm thought whole thing was an ukr co?
04:42 signpost apparently "based in phoenix", so probably outsources all the real work to ukraine.
04:43 asciilifeform not uncommon. cheaper fwiw than india
04:43 signpost pretty sure a contractor we hired one time was based in ukr, great guy, did good work.
04:44 signpost needed some windows crapware built and nobody on team wanted to.
04:44 * asciilifeform served time in a usg chemical wea^H^H^Hdefense lab, where ~100% of organic synthesis outsourced to ukrs
04:46 asciilifeform as in neighbouring shitholes, over9000 folx there with 'classical' (i.e. su-era) education, entirely 1st rate when can find foreign bidder
04:58 signpost afaik this is how approx 100% of american science is being done, either by importing the meat, or ^
04:59 verisimilitude It's certainly convenient when someone else's society falls.
05:00 verisimilitude Fortunately, the quality of US education means we won't be predated on in the same way.
05:03 signpost the accidental benefits of geography suggest we'll probably just sit here and rot without much attention paid, if australia is any indication.
05:04 signpost as long as biden and co don't crap their pants into a nuclear lobbing contest, and even then I buy asciilifeform's view that this'd probably be a few exchanges upon launch sites, given how careful russia's been so far with ukraine. though things can change.
05:05 signpost doesn't appear to me they're laying waste to the place, so much as blasting imported weaponry.
05:05 * signpost bbl
~ 5 hours ~
10:05 crtdaydreams https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BVkTmnJkAN8
~ 2 hours 26 minutes ~
12:32 jonsykkel xaxis=hours http://zzz.st/up/KvH42sag/20220301_133329.png
12:32 jonsykkel see if you can spot where installed 870evo
~ 1 hours 31 minutes ~
14:03 asciilifeform jonsykkel: lolyes
14:09 asciilifeform http://logs.nosuchlabs.com/log/asciilifeform/2022-02-28#1081553 << for decades nao
14:09 dulapbot Logged on 2022-02-28 23:58:38 signpost: afaik this is how approx 100% of american science is being done, either by importing the meat, or ^
14:13 asciilifeform http://logs.nosuchlabs.com/log/asciilifeform/2022-03-01#1081557 << fwiw 2020 'putin doctrine'(tm)(r) promises 'no 2nd 1941' i.e. immediate glassing of enemy 'centers of decision making' (where these are -- mystery)
14:13 dulapbot Logged on 2022-03-01 00:04:17 signpost: as long as biden and co don't crap their pants into a nuclear lobbing contest, and even then I buy asciilifeform's view that this'd probably be a few exchanges upon launch sites, given how careful russia's been so far with ukraine. though things can change.
14:15 asciilifeform $ticker btc usd
14:15 busybot Current BTC price in USD: $44606.5
14:15 asciilifeform !w poll
14:15 watchglass Polling 14 nodes...
14:15 watchglass 71.191.220.241:8333 : (pool-71-191-220-241.washdc.fios.verizon.net) Alive: (0.095s) V=99999 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.9.99.99/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Blocks=725405 (Operator: asciilifeform)
14:15 watchglass 54.39.156.171:8333 : (ns562940.ip-54-39-156.net) Alive: (0.112s) V=99999 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.9.99.99/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Blocks=725405
14:15 watchglass 205.134.172.6:8333 : (172-6.core.ai.net) Alive: (0.081s) V=99999 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.9.99.99/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Return Addr=0.0.0.0:8333 Blocks=725405
14:15 watchglass 205.134.172.26:8333 : Alive: (0.141s) V=99999 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.9.99.99/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Return Addr=0.0.0.0:8333 Blocks=725405
14:15 watchglass 205.134.172.4:8333 : (172-4.core.ai.net) Alive: (0.143s) V=70001 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.7.0.1/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Blocks=725405
14:15 watchglass 205.134.172.28:8333 : Alive: (0.144s) V=99999 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.9.99.99/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Return Addr=0.0.0.0:8333 Blocks=725405 (Operator: whaack)
14:15 watchglass 208.94.240.42:8333 : Alive: (0.146s) V=99999 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.9.99.99/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Blocks=725405
14:15 watchglass 205.134.172.27:8333 : Alive: (0.282s) V=99999 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.9.99.99/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Blocks=725405 (Operator: asciilifeform)
14:15 watchglass 54.38.94.63:8333 : (ns3140226.ip-54-38-94.eu) Alive: (0.263s) V=88888 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.8.88.88/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Blocks=725405
14:15 watchglass 94.176.238.102:8333 : (2ppf.s.time4vps.cloud) Alive: (0.253s) V=99999 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.9.99.99/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Blocks=725080
14:15 watchglass 82.79.58.192:8333 : (static-82-79-58-192.rdsnet.ro) Alive: (0.320s) V=99999 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.9.99.99/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Blocks=725405
14:15 watchglass 103.36.92.112:8333 : (terebe.ns01.net) Alive: (0.650s) V=99999 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.9.99.99/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Blocks=725405
14:17 watchglass 75.106.222.93:8333 : Alive: (0.692s) V=99999 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.9.99.99/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Blocks=725405
14:17 watchglass 143.202.160.10:8333 : Busy? (No answer in 100 sec.)
14:18 PeterL I have had three different co-workers at three different places, me: "where did you come from?" them: "USSR" "oh, which part?" "Ukraine"
14:20 asciilifeform PeterL: typical
14:20 PeterL technically, one of them emigrated after the change, ~2000, but he seemed to think of himself as a Russian
14:21 asciilifeform PeterL: interestingly, asciilifeform met quite a few 'proud ukrs' who in fact from same town and dun speak a word of ukr. i.e. consciously reich-aligned folx
14:22 asciilifeform there are afaik 2 basic types of 'proud ukr' -- the kind who actually from west ukristan, conquered in '40 but never properly absorbed into su; and the other kind, 'we want a ru altcoin w/ hookers, blackjack, and eu passports'
14:23 PeterL Is Ukrainian very different from Russian, I thought it was the same with a funny accent?
14:23 asciilifeform PeterL: has approx. same relation to ru as 'ebonics' to bbc english
14:24 asciilifeform comes in a spectrum, where, the further west you go, the less intelligible and moar compat. with pl
14:25 PeterL you think Putin will offer to withdraw in exchange for the eastern part of Ukr? Would the ukrs take such an offer?
14:27 asciilifeform PeterL: the alleged plan ( orlov's engl. text of subj )
14:33 asciilifeform PeterL: the ukr plan, meanwhile, seems to be 'turn into an iraq', invited foreign mercenaries, 'soldiers of fortune', etc. in unlimited #s, mainly to shoot at folx trying to flee cities ('ohnoez, our human shields deserting?')
14:37 asciilifeform ... the show, naturally, aint about ukristan per se (economically somewhere b/w/ the congo and zimbabwe) but other things entirely, loong in the worx.
14:37 dulapbot Logged on 2022-02-28 22:14:11 mats: bit stale, but the theft of ru central bank money
~ 54 minutes ~
15:31 billymg "INFO:root:Waiting 45 seconds for new block. 0 blocks behind trb tip." << fully synced. 11.5 days on fx-8350 and sata ssd
15:33 asciilifeform billymg: this was whaack's proggy ?
15:34 billymg asciilifeform: yep
15:34 asciilifeform neato
~ 1 hours 6 minutes ~
16:41 shinohai From the front page of HN this morning https://docs.taler.net/
16:41 shinohai >taxable
16:46 asciilifeform shinohai: ancient lul
16:46 dulapbot (trilema) 2016-08-04 a111: Logged on 2016-06-05 17:05 asciilifeform: 'We are building an anonymous, taxable payment system using modern cryptography. Customers will use traditional money transfers to send money to a digital Exchange and in return receive (anonymized) digital cash. Customers can use this digital cash to anonymously pay Merchants. Merchants can redeem the digital cash for traditional money at the digital Exchange. As Merchants are not
16:47 shinohai bwahahahahaha
16:49 asciilifeform shinohai: the sheer cheek + intractable idjicy, reminiscent of (remember it?) the post-devourment 'napster' where users were asked to pay reich per dload
16:51 shinohai I guess I should expect no less from the FSF camp.
16:54 billymg for some reason the HN crowd loves this stuff, "wow, a complex new scheme to keep the same chains intact"
16:56 shinohai billymg: als involves bootlicking, which is the #1 sport there.
16:56 asciilifeform billymg: that www is a reich organ, with errything this entails
16:56 asciilifeform billymg: e.g. currently all comments against 'proud ukrs' zapped in ~realtime
16:56 billymg yeah, easy to tell from which comments get flagged or downvoted to oblivion
16:57 billymg HN and reddit are two heathen pits i stopped visiting completely
16:57 * asciilifeform occasionally reads when linked here; not otherwise
17:09 verisimilitude My favourite Reddit quote is ``I was raped by my wife's boyfriend.''; it's perfect.
17:17 shinohai But did he get pregnant ?
17:18 verisimilitude That's a good response; no.
17:31 asciilifeform lol
~ 1 hours 47 minutes ~
19:19 mats itll be interdasting what financial contagion happens now
19:20 mats super liquidity drain from sanctions on the 11th largest economy, rising interest rates
19:23 verisimilitude None of these financial games really mean anything.
19:24 verisimilitude It may as well be magic meant for entertainment.
19:24 mats meaningless to people with no money or resources
19:26 asciilifeform aint no such people ( even corpse in cemetery taking up coupla m^2, that someone might want )
19:26 asciilifeform the folx w/ 'nothing' in fact primo target for lizards' drive to show what 'less than nothing' loox like
~ 18 minutes ~
19:45 verisimilitude I think that graveyards shouldn't exist. They waste land.
19:47 PeterL ever diven across the country? there is plenty of land to waste, when we run out then we can revisit the use of graveyards
19:48 verisimilitude I just dislike them on principle.
19:48 verisimilitude I agree there's plenty of other waste.
~ 2 hours 49 minutes ~
22:37 signpost verisimilitude: and you wonder why I call you a solipsist.
22:38 signpost the financial games mean your supply chains fail, sooner or later. then what, reality will bend to your will?
22:39 signpost mats: have to credit your pointing out that btc price responds to the monetary flow over the network, not inflation directly.
22:39 signpost 15% in a day says you're right about that.
22:40 signpost if one thinks fiat is failing generally, can be both, of course.
22:40 signpost though the cynic in me can believe there'll be flight into USD enough to hold the thing up.
22:40 signpost from say euro, lira, whatever
22:44 PeterL Gazprom dropping like a rock, anybody want to guess best time to grab that knife?
22:45 signpost 2035.
22:46 PeterL get rich quick scheme by Putin: short gazprom, start war, profit!
22:47 signpost when you're the king you can only get poorer by doing that.
22:47 signpost having a functioning gazprom is his wealth.
22:48 PeterL can't you tell it was sarcasm by the exclamation point?!
22:50 signpost just replying to what I read, my dude
22:51 signpost I figure there are several parties that think they're going to profit from this situation.
22:52 PeterL lol, actually you make a good point. but certainly there could have been underlings who had inklings of what would happen that could have made a bundle with a short
22:54 signpost probably did, and checked out to london, miami, wherever
22:56 signpost http://logs.nosuchlabs.com/log/asciilifeform/2022-02-28#1081506
22:56 dulapbot Logged on 2022-02-28 22:21:08 asciilifeform: mats: asciilifeform's guess is that he's hobbled by traitorous ministers who already reserved villas in miami. is the only half-plausible explanation for over9000 'whys'
23:11 mats i think we're long past any waterfalls, any pinched money going to btc will be to public and private treasuries
23:11 mats can't hold back the tide, migjt as well build up a pile for the storms of the future
23:13 signpost might be talking past each other. I'm not referencing buterin's waterfall.
23:14 signpost talking about the capital flight out of russia and ukraine.
23:14 mats i know, went upthread
23:14 signpost ah
23:14 mats like the next time usg decides to freeze a sovereigns central bank balance
23:15 mats still amazed they did it
23:15 signpost I think you're right that they just killed global USD.
23:15 signpost "holy shit, they'll do it to white people?!"
23:17 signpost only thing I can see on the other side of that argument is even worse fiat crises elsewhere propping it up.
23:17 mats just could not resist weaponising the dollar, having pushed that button so many other times for muslims
23:21 signpost taking a cynical view, this takes a chunk of USD out of circulation entirely. can't flow back home.
23:21 signpost not sure enough to matter.
23:22 signpost perhaps they hope china will hit taiwan next, so they can freeze their holdings.
23:23 mats i honestly don't believe china will have to invade to retake taiwan
23:24 signpost just seems timely that they announced ultimate bromance right before russia's move.
23:24 signpost but what is the alternative?
23:24 signpost blockade?
23:24 mats too costly, they might as well drop a nuke than spend any lives
23:24 mats tsmc isnt viable if theres any shooting
23:25 mats taiwan will submit when the time comes
23:25 signpost I'm sure I don't understand how Taiwan figures into domestic Chinese politics.
23:25 signpost mats: what tells you that?
23:26 mats taiwanese capital helped build china
23:26 mats theres no good sign of submission as far as polling goes, its just a political statement
23:26 signpost so political support for reunification is higher in taiwan than stated in western media?
23:26 mats oh no
23:27 signpost certainly doesn't seem like it.
23:28 mats iirc its at like 4%
23:28 signpost right, so what tells you they'll submit when the time comes?
23:29 mats they'll do it for the money, when the dollars dry up from endless mismanagement
23:29 mats the brain drain into the mainland and california is enormous already
23:30 mats easier to learn simplified chinese than english
23:31 signpost seems like we are exfiltrating tsmc as quickly as we can.
23:32 mats yeah, new fabs in jp de az
23:32 signpost https://science.house.gov/americacompetes << yup
23:33 signpost https://udumbara.net/tsmc-the-worlds-most-sought-after-company << "TSMC has devised a plan for its Arizona plant to quickly replicate its plants in Taiwan. The move outlines TSMC???s intention to mirror its comprehensive supply chain in Taiwan to the United States due to concerns over Beijing???s potential invasion."
23:34 signpost this is perhaps one of a handful of smart strategic moves in recent years.
23:37 mats shouldve done it ten years ago
23:38 signpost sure, way late.
~ 18 minutes ~
23:56 asciilifeform http://logs.nosuchlabs.com/log/asciilifeform/2022-03-01#1081654 << fwiw there's nao a symmetric answer to yest'd mpexing -- 'if you wanna take capital out, will have to do it physically and <10k usd , and ask nicely'
23:56 dulapbot Logged on 2022-03-01 18:13:50 signpost: talking about the capital flight out of russia and ukraine.
23:56 dulapbot Logged on 2022-02-28 22:14:11 mats: bit stale, but the theft of ru central bank money
23:58 asciilifeform http://logs.nosuchlabs.com/log/asciilifeform/2022-03-01#1081647 << if the ru folx have half a brain, will do the obv. thing and definancialize gazprom et al.
23:58 dulapbot Logged on 2022-03-01 17:52:28 PeterL: lol, actually you make a good point. but certainly there could have been underlings who had inklings of what would happen that could have made a bundle with a short
23:58 asciilifeform i.e. 'you can keep the paper, we'll keep the minerals'
23:59 asciilifeform http://logs.nosuchlabs.com/log/asciilifeform/2022-03-01#1081671 << would be surprised if usg hasn't already mined the factories
23:59 dulapbot Logged on 2022-03-01 18:24:38 mats: tsmc isnt viable if theres any shooting
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