Show Idle (>14 d.) Chans


← 2022-11-07 | 2022-11-09 →
09:40 billymg $ticker btc usd
09:40 busybot Current BTC price in USD: $19385.55
09:46 billymg seems that another gox might be collapsing now
09:46 billymg usg.ftx this time
09:49 awt ohnoez muh yield!
09:56 billymg saw some of their bots online saying "if you want to get your money out try using these other tokens, they are less congested than btc"
09:56 awt lol
09:57 billymg damn network congestion, always causing problems. big blockers were right!
10:05 asciilifeform lol 'exchrate heating up, let's pop anuther gox' eh
10:06 asciilifeform oblig.
10:10 shinohai lol @ ftx "Bitcoin has no future as a payments network!" Guess that's why they hafta halt withdraws today.
10:12 billymg for the uninitiated, the founder
10:15 billymg asciilifeform: yup, again and again, until they finally realize
10:15 bitbot Logged on 2022-06-16 15:08:34 asciilifeform: 'gave keys' == 'sold'
~ 46 minutes ~
11:01 asciilifeform complete w/ 'assets are fine'(tm)(r) lol
~ 34 minutes ~
11:36 awt And binance acquires ftx
11:36 awt $ticker btc usd
11:36 busybot Current BTC price in USD: $20559.7
11:37 awt What a gigantic load of bullcrap
~ 20 minutes ~
11:57 asciilifeform 'tldr' -- put cock in bear trap before putting coin in 'bitcoin finance'(tm)(r)
11:58 asciilifeform same as 10y ago.
~ 1 hours 21 minutes ~
13:19 billymg $ticker btc usd
13:19 busybot Current BTC price in USD: $18875.7
~ 16 minutes ~
13:35 signpost lol!
13:36 signpost might get those ch33p c01nz yet eh?
13:40 shinohai $vwap
13:40 busybot The 24-Hour VWAP for BTC is $ 19751.05 USD
13:47 signpost damn, I kinda want to go put some limit orders in at like $10k
13:48 signpost doesn't seem urgent though. oughta be in bust mode for what, a year or so traditionally?
13:57 asciilifeform signpost: iirc in 'bust mode' for yr+ nao neh
14:00 asciilifeform ( asciilifeform's mental algo -- (defun bust-mode-p (btcusd) (< btcusd *all-time-high*)) )
14:02 signpost looks like bottom of market was about jan-sept 15 after gox failure, next one was approx oct'18-mar'19
14:03 signpost so maybe not 1yr
14:03 signpost seems to my amateur butt though that there's more gox hot-air in the "market" today than ever.
14:04 * asciilifeform admits that not follows 'air' in realtime, so not knows
14:07 signpost https://twitter.com/ftx_app/status/1417497465574539277?lang=en << this piece of shit is in the skillet today.
14:07 signpost oops mentioned above.
14:11 asciilifeform lulzy how there seems to be 0 limit on how many times 'dampen exchrate by popping a gox and dumping the coinz on open market' worx -- coinz end up back in yet other goxes, rinse, repeat
14:15 asciilifeform ... on top of this, the 'lemmings' who 'gotta sell, cuz going down!!' never -- collectively -- seem to run outta coin to dump
14:17 asciilifeform ( the reason wainot, imho elementarily, is that 'no actual btc harmed in the making of this production' -- they're 'trading' papercoinz, which printed in ~unlimited qty )
14:18 asciilifeform i.e. precisely what keeps ye olde au down even as usd 'goes to toiletpaper'
14:19 asciilifeform moron goes to gox, hands in some green printolade in exch for some 'yellow' printolade.
14:20 asciilifeform (and, occasionally, vice-versa)
14:22 asciilifeform on the rare occasions when > n, for some n, folx show up to demand actual btc rather than yellow printolade -- 'ohnoez, we got hacked' etc
14:22 signpost gotta move both out of the goxes and never transact more than you can afford to lose in the process.
14:24 asciilifeform aa but how will they 'getrich!!!' by leveraging then.
14:24 signpost sooner it all gets flushed the better.
14:25 asciilifeform imho that's the interesting thing, that 'it all' never 'gets flushed'
14:25 asciilifeform only indiv. gox, periodically, flushed
14:25 signpost well, in my mind there's potential for a final zap. but maybe that also, ever imminent, never arrives.
14:26 asciilifeform hypothetical 'final zap' would have to somehow kill the fractional-reserve gox concept as a whole
14:26 * signpost referring to nuclear exchange, but that also can be mostly theater.
14:27 asciilifeform lol asteroid etc
14:27 asciilifeform trivial 'solution'. was asking re 'they're alive but not using goxes' notion
14:28 signpost yeah I'm aleady astonished at the modern underclass stomach for insult, so I'm not placing any bets on the other side.
14:29 asciilifeform imho the interesting thing is that fract-res. scamola appeals to ~all~ classes -- collective masturbatoria where erryone can imagine he is over9000x richer than factually (for so long as not tries to buy physical goods)
14:30 jonsykkel but if they can do infinite toilet paper thing, why is there any rise at all in au/btc
14:30 jonsykkel would they like to supres 100%, but theres some limit, where it would be too obvious even for morons wat they are doing
14:30 signpost it does, but the busts do tend to enrich dominant players while taxing all subordinate classes.
14:31 signpost jonsykkel: not a matter of obvious, just a matter of when the valuable things have moved to their hands imho
14:31 signpost see e.g. CZ eating all competition during this winter.
14:31 billymg every now and then the waterfall is refilled with actual coin as well, handed over not voluntarily, but in a shakedown, e.g. like this recent announcement: https://www.justice.gov/usao-sdny/pr/us-attorney-announces-historic-336-billion-cryptocurrency-seizure-and-conviction
14:31 asciilifeform jonsykkel: the organized dampening afaik started in '17, and not immed. effective, so exchrate after certain time 'frozen' in place
14:32 asciilifeform (started with Official 'legalization' of use of btc by 'financialists')
14:32 signpost billymg lol, the lack of a decimal in that URL!
14:33 billymg haha
14:33 billymg signpost: that figure was measured at $66k/btc also, when it was seized last november
14:33 signpost peanuts!
14:34 asciilifeform 'Specifically, law enforcement located 50,491.06251844 Bitcoin of the approximately 53,500 Bitcoin Crime Proceeds (a) in an underground floor safe; and (b) on a single-board computer that was submerged under blankets in a popcorn tin stored in a bathroom closet.'
14:34 asciilifeform lol!!
14:34 asciilifeform 'Beginning in or around March 2022, ZHONG began voluntarily surrendering to the Government additional Bitcoin that ZHONG had access to and had not dissipated. In total, ZHONG voluntarily surrendered 1,004.14621836 additional Bitcoin.'
14:34 asciilifeform cokemachine?
14:34 jonsykkel hard to say if frozen wihtout knowing wat the numbers are suposed to lok like
14:34 billymg some other lulzy details, such as "ZHONG thereafter exchanged through an overseas cryptocurrency exchange all of the BCH Crime Proceeds for additional Bitcoin, amounting to approximately 3,500 Bitcoin of additional crime proceeds."
14:35 billymg smart enough to dump the airdropped shitcoin but not smart enough to encrypt his keys (or even leave the country)
14:35 signpost wasn't this the post-dpr silk road honeypot too?
14:36 signpost ah nope, looks like from dpr era. I thought another sprung up, maybe under another name. doesn't matter.
14:37 asciilifeform plentiful refill for waterfall.
14:37 asciilifeform iirc comparable to the orig. sr dekulakization.
14:39 asciilifeform http://logs.bitdash.io/pest/2022-11-08#1015769 << indeed, but can get some clue from 'owner class' assets which actually appear to track 'the real inflation'(tm) -- real estate, rembrandts, etc
14:39 bitbot Logged on 2022-11-08 14:34:30 jonsykkel: hard to say if frozen wihtout knowing wat the numbers are suposed to lok like
14:41 asciilifeform http://logs.bitdash.io/pest/2022-11-08#1015771 << orig dpr iirc not had anyffin resembling 'exit strategy' either.
14:41 bitbot Logged on 2022-11-08 14:35:34 billymg: smart enough to dump the airdropped shitcoin but not smart enough to encrypt his keys (or even leave the country)
14:44 signpost seemed like a php developer guy that got way over his head.
14:52 signpost see also insurance premiums (+ out of pocket) for real inflation rate. I'm over here selecting self-employed insurance. what a scam.
14:53 jonsykkel but wat time scale are we looking at then , cuz theres 20x noise in the btc signal as far as i can tell
14:53 jonsykkel compared to real estate
14:54 jonsykkel theres some "real component" and bunch a waves on top
~ 1 hours 31 minutes ~
16:26 asciilifeform signpost: re 'over his head' -- there's a fundamental problem neither dpr nor other 'uppity plebe' had any way of solving
16:26 bitbot (asciilifeform) 2020-12-17 asciilifeform: billymg: i disagree that it's a numeric problem, even necessarily. say, martians land, and leave you 25 tonnes of refined pu as a parting gift. you will 'pass into elite' ? or perhaps not ? what do you suppose would happen ?
16:27 asciilifeform sorta why the latest d00d 'under blankets in a popcorn tin stored in a bathroom closet'.
16:34 asciilifeform near as asciilifeform can tell, the ~actual btc economy~ (i.e. what remains after subtracting the reich subsidiaries that demand passport etc. when trading anyffin for coin, so can report its 'sale' and the 'gain') is ~weaker~ today than in the days of the infamous pizza.
16:35 asciilifeform likely, dpr (or 'popcorn tin' d00d) could not even buy a pizza with that 50+k.
16:35 asciilifeform needed a diff. wot, and these aint for sale.
16:36 * asciilifeform still regularly encounters folx who read fishwraps, at time of dpr, and genuinely believe 'on the net, you can hire hitman! and not even costs much!' etc
16:38 asciilifeform would think, naively, that just as these eventually learned in '90s that 'nigerian prince' aint as-advertised on the box -- would learn faster when 'nigerian prince' comes not only with bank acct cleanout but '20 to life'. but nope
16:46 asciilifeform http://logs.bitdash.io/pest/2022-11-08#1015784 << there are waves, but observe that btc-style crashes 'not permitted' -- $mil house in reich absolutely never turns into $100k house (unless burns down)
16:46 bitbot Logged on 2022-11-08 14:54:47 jonsykkel: theres some "real component" and bunch a waves on top
16:48 asciilifeform any time this kinda thing threatens to happen , the printer goes 'brrr', and its output dispatched 'in wheelbarrows' to where needed, so the 'tbtf' asset can be propped up.
16:53 asciilifeform sorta the entire point of the 'printer' -- to prop up essential elements of lizard power structure that otherwise could fall.
16:55 asciilifeform if plebe works for wage for a week, 2-3 days are mandatorily to pay landlord or real-estate usurer; and at least 1 -- tax collector.
16:56 asciilifeform this -- 'not negotiable', is what the reich is ~about~, fundamentally.
17:10 signpost good explanation for why BTC is irrelevant to the lizard class too. they're slavers, can own whatever you think you own by owning your ass outright.
17:12 signpost and liability if they understand that BTC tends to appeal to folks that bias against becoming slavers themselves, or so it appears to me.
17:12 signpost why let anyone like that ruin the game.
~ 44 minutes ~
17:56 asciilifeform http://logs.bitdash.io/pest/2022-11-08#1015799 << can own whatever ~they know~ you own; which was the orig. appeal of btcism, and artfully 'nerfed' by 'legalization' (over9000 'legit(tm) places to spend' aka to demask yerself)
17:56 bitbot Logged on 2022-11-08 17:10:32 signpost: good explanation for why BTC is irrelevant to the lizard class too. they're slavers, can own whatever you think you own by owning your ass outright.
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