Show Idle (>14 d.) Chans


← 2021-06-07 | 2021-06-09 →
13:13 gregorynyssa http://logs.nosuchlabs.com/log/asciilifeform/2021-06-07#1038380 << likewise, support for the country's strong anti-harassment system (restraining orders, etc.) is bi-partisan.
13:13 snsabot Logged on 2021-06-07 16:08:22 verisimilitude: Even on supposedly divisive topics, it's just middling; few US politicians still advocate against abortion, homosexuals, trannies, and soon to add mutilating children in new ways and pedophilia.
13:14 gregorynyssa even though this system is just thirty years old.
13:16 gregorynyssa nor is reform of institutional psychology/psychiatry a priority for either side.
13:18 gregorynyssa I don't know who said the quote "politics is downstream from culture" but it is a very crucial observation.
~ 55 minutes ~
14:13 asciilifeform gregorynyssa: elite 100% supports plebecontrol systems -- mega-surprise?
~ 42 minutes ~
14:56 asciilifeform $ticker btc usd
14:56 btcinfobot Current BTC price in USD: $31679.24
14:56 asciilifeform ^ cheap!11111 ^
14:56 asciilifeform !w poll
14:56 watchglass Polling 17 nodes...
14:56 watchglass 84.16.46.130:8333 : Could not connect!
14:56 watchglass 185.163.46.29:8333 : Could not connect!
14:56 watchglass 205.134.172.26:8333 : Alive: (0.082s) V=99999 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.9.99.99/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Return Addr=0.0.0.0:8333 Blocks=686810
14:56 watchglass 205.134.172.4:8333 : (172-4.core.ai.net) Alive: (0.119s) V=70001 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.7.0.1/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Blocks=686810
14:56 watchglass 54.39.156.171:8333 : (ns562940.ip-54-39-156.net) Alive: (0.113s) V=99999 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.9.99.99/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Blocks=686810
14:56 watchglass 192.151.158.26:8333 : Alive: (0.113s) V=70001 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.7.0.1/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Blocks=686810
14:56 watchglass 108.31.170.100:8333 : (pool-108-31-170-100.washdc.fios.verizon.net) Alive: (0.098s) V=99999 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.9.99.99/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Blocks=686810 (Operator: asciilifeform)
14:56 watchglass 205.134.172.6:8333 : (172-6.core.ai.net) Alive: (0.288s) V=99999 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.9.99.99/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Return Addr=0.0.0.0:8333 Blocks=686205
14:56 watchglass 208.94.240.42:8333 : Alive: (0.187s) V=99999 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.9.99.99/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Blocks=686810
14:56 watchglass 143.202.160.10:8333 : Alive: (0.210s) V=70001 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.7.0.1/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Blocks=686810
14:56 watchglass 54.38.94.63:8333 : (ns3140226.ip-54-38-94.eu) Alive: (0.260s) V=88888 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.8.88.88/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Blocks=686797
14:56 watchglass 185.85.38.54:8333 : (tlapnet-38-54.cust.tlapnet.cz) Alive: (0.229s) V=99999 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.9.99.99/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Blocks=686805
14:56 watchglass 205.134.172.28:8333 : Alive: (0.121s) V=99999 (/therealbitcoin.org:0.9.99.99/) Jumpers=0x1 (TRB-Compat.) Return Addr=0.0.0.0:8333 Blocks=686810 (Operator: whaack)
14:57 watchglass 103.36.92.112:8333 : Violated BTC Protocol: Bad header length!
14:58 watchglass 24.28.108.235:8333 : Busy? (No answer in 100 sec.) (Operator: trinque)
~ 22 minutes ~
15:20 asciilifeform meanwhile, in misc. reich lulz. (archived)
15:21 asciilifeform (Run Moar vpnisms!!111)
~ 2 hours 3 minutes ~
17:25 trinque not enough reddit butt-tears yet. let's see $15k
17:25 * trinque jingles sack, wants moar
17:27 * asciilifeform recalls 'good old days' of july '20, where ~3k
~ 24 minutes ~
17:51 asciilifeform trinque: i admit, wonder what it'd take (what sort of event..) to convert the 'carousel' to some other kind of motion.
17:52 asciilifeform trinque: and also admit, not convinced that redditus sum to any detectable gravitational pull
~ 34 minutes ~
18:27 trinque sure, isn't just reddit gambling with high leverage, but I don't know where the "professional" gamblers go to wail.
18:28 trinque re: carousel, am I imagining things, or did satoshi predict bubbles between halvings?
18:30 asciilifeform trinque: iirc never said anyffin re subj
18:36 * trinque wonders where the fuq he got that notion.
18:36 trinque anyhow, miners compete and difficulty increases, narrowing margin on mining.
18:40 trinque supposing miners are pretty close to break-even when a halving occurs, seems like that'd put more upward pressure on asks.
18:41 trinque kinda curious to snag somebody's order-book data and dig into this.
18:49 trinque supposing this starts a bull run, other buyers pile in with high margin longs. when the capacity for these newly-convinced buyers to buy is expended, many of them are stuck at the top holding their dicks, and the capitulation is exacerbated by both margin calls and margin shorts going the other way.
18:50 * trinque hypothesizes that this is entirely printed-money dynamics, and one wouldn't see sound-money dynamics without exchanges with cryptographic proof of the underlying assets.
~ 25 minutes ~
19:16 asciilifeform trinque: entirely, imho, possible that simply existence of printolade-usd fully accounts for the visible givens
19:17 asciilifeform e.g. musk & co. pick up freshly printed 1e8 usd (at 0%) ; pump up btc; dump, induce panic, buy cheap; repump, sell dear; 'goto 10'
19:18 asciilifeform ( see also )
19:18 snsabot Logged on 2021-04-23 13:08:03 asciilifeform: a major moving part behind the price swings are the people who run this heat engine -- 1) spread fud re bitcoin 2) 'buy the dip' 3) drum up enthusiasm among morons 4) sell dear 5) goto 1, nao w/ moar coin, extracted from morons on both strokes of the engine piston
19:26 asciilifeform re: miners, however -- afaik their fortunes/misfortunes have 0 detectable effect on exch rates -- for the simple reason that the item being traded consists almost entirely of paper-btc
19:30 * asciilifeform full aware of various popular voodoo on the subj, but regards it as exactly that
19:30 asciilifeform *fully
19:34 asciilifeform trinque: in the old days, when threads re: 'trb-i', asciilifeform contemplated whether possible, in principle, for there to be a mining algo which disincentivized paperization.
19:35 asciilifeform ( concluded that 'possible', but requires 'squared circle' ;
19:35 snsabot (trilema) 2017-03-01 mircea_popescu: just payments. no payers. fuck usg.
19:36 asciilifeform ... i.e. monetary mass -- knowable but individual unspent balances -- somehow! -- not.
19:36 snsabot (trilema) 2017-03-01 asciilifeform: can third party calculate the monetary mass ?
19:37 asciilifeform given this, suppose that e.g. 30% of block reward went to ~random~ previously-seen addr.
19:38 asciilifeform this way, genuinely-held (i.e. control of privkey) coins 'collect interest'. but deniably, so if you park yours w/ a 3rd party, it can insist 'we got 0'.
19:39 asciilifeform other setups with same effect may be possible.
19:39 asciilifeform )
19:42 asciilifeform will emphasize -- it aint enuff for 'genuinely held btc is a lottery ticker erry 10min'. must be not only random, but deniable, otherwise can be paperized over quite effectively (i.e. an equilibrium will form where paper holders will have reason to expect a certain %gain of their goxbalance)
19:42 asciilifeform *ticket
19:44 asciilifeform whole idea could very well be a perpetuum mobile -- as the penalty from paperization would have to somehow reliably exceed the ev of leverageism.
19:45 asciilifeform ... if it WERE possible, however, then such a 'trb-i' could easily be to btc what btc is to usd; and for exactly same reasons
19:48 asciilifeform (before anyone mentions the ethertards -- they aint actually doing this; merely fraudulently, as usual, pretending to)
19:49 verisimilitude Isn't Monero half of this idea?
19:51 asciilifeform verisimilitude: usg.honeypot take on half of the idea. see logs, too many lulz to cite compactly.
19:53 verisimilitude On that note, I've noticed popular media is avoiding mentioning Bitcoin.
19:53 asciilifeform verisimilitude: plenty of mention, 'ohnoez, crashed, cry' ~weekly
19:53 asciilifeform for ~11y nao.
19:54 verisimilitude From one show I saw, discussing payment: ``Part in Ethereum, part in Zcash, and part in my proprietary coin.''
19:54 shinohai verisimilitude: Nearly every "nyooz" outlet on tube this morning running with "Oh noes, FBI hacked Bitcoin!"
19:54 verisimilitude The show was stupid.
19:55 asciilifeform 'i was eating from dumpster, the rat carcasses tasted terrible'
19:55 verisimilitude I was asked today if the WWW had been brought down.
19:55 asciilifeform what were you doing watching, verisimilitude , that show
19:55 verisimilitude Someone else was and I was passing by.
19:55 asciilifeform lolk
19:56 verisimilitude I'm not joking.
19:56 asciilifeform verisimilitude: if you're unaware -- there's a ~bottomless pit of this garbage.
19:56 asciilifeform permeates the 'mainstream' space. and has, for decade+ nao.
19:57 verisimilitude It was that new ``Law & Order'' show, now with more negroes and homosexuals.
19:57 asciilifeform 'ceo of bitcoin arrested!' (famous headline on the day of gox implosion)
19:59 verisimilitude I have no issues quoting television shows I've seen once, a decade ago, so I generally avoid watching it at all, because it will be difficult to forget.
19:59 shinohai https://twitter.com/JustinWolfers/status/1402083853427089415
20:00 asciilifeform shinohai: if these didn't exist 'we'd have to invent'em'
20:06 shinohai ^-^
20:09 verisimilitude I read some filth a ways back seriously discussing how Disney could stop Bitcoin.
20:10 asciilifeform upstack -- imho bitcoin 'went only half-way' -- we don't know what a 100% debasement-proof currency would look like; would need to be paperization-resistant, not merely publicly-ledgered and deterministically-inflating.
20:10 verisimilitude It was cited by more recent filth.
20:11 asciilifeform verisimilitude: again, there's a ~bottomless pit of these. y'know, as with other clickbait/tabloid themes. 'how you hairbrush is killing you.' '47 dirty tricks your dentist doesn't want you to know.' etc
20:11 verisimilitude Yes.
20:11 asciilifeform life imho is too short to read these.
20:11 verisimilitude This reminds me of something.
20:12 verisimilitude I was told ``Life is too short to hate.''; I responded ``It's too long not too.''.
~ 1 hours 4 minutes ~
21:16 trinque http://logs.nosuchlabs.com/log/asciilifeform/2021-06-08#1038433 << yes, not only does mining look like a "bug", but also the public ledger, sadly.
21:16 snsabot Logged on 2021-06-08 15:33:32 asciilifeform: ... i.e. monetary mass -- knowable but individual unspent balances -- somehow! -- not.
21:16 trinque look how useful the latter has apparently become to the state.
21:21 trinque difficult to imagine what kind of incentive structure could be devised to encourage holding of own keys which *couldn't* be faked by a Coinbase
21:23 trinque http://logs.nosuchlabs.com/log/asciilifeform/2021-06-08#1038467 << perhaps the missing piece of infrastructure is, simply, http://logs.nosuchlabs.com/log/asciilifeform/2021-06-08#1038385
21:23 snsabot Logged on 2021-06-08 16:06:59 asciilifeform: upstack -- imho bitcoin 'went only half-way' -- we don't know what a 100% debasement-proof currency would look like; would need to be paperization-resistant, not merely publicly-ledgered and deterministically-inflating.
21:23 snsabot Logged on 2021-06-08 09:15:12 gregorynyssa: I don't know who said the quote "politics is downstream from culture" but it is a very crucial observation.
~ 44 minutes ~
22:08 asciilifeform http://logs.nosuchlabs.com/log/asciilifeform/2021-06-08#1038474 << w/out public proof of non-printability, it's a fiatola. i.e. a zwhateverthefuckcoin-style scam where some fuckwad prints and prints and herd of morons pretends it aint happening
22:08 snsabot Logged on 2021-06-08 17:13:27 trinque: http://logs.nosuchlabs.com/log/asciilifeform/2021-06-08#1038433 << yes, not only does mining look like a "bug", but also the public ledger, sadly.
22:10 asciilifeform http://logs.nosuchlabs.com/log/asciilifeform/2021-06-08#1038476 << no less than the prev. time we had this thread -- asciilifeform knows 0 evidence that this notion is grounded in anything other than disinfo. (yes, they'd luvv for erryone to believe that 'btc is entirely transparent to usg', esp. if this 'erryone' goes en masse to the 'anon'scamcoins where above )
22:10 snsabot Logged on 2021-06-08 17:13:40 trinque: look how useful the latter has apparently become to the state.
22:10 asciilifeform http://logs.nosuchlabs.com/log/asciilifeform/2021-06-08#1038477 << potentially, >> http://logs.nosuchlabs.com/log/asciilifeform/2021-06-08#1038436 .
22:10 snsabot Logged on 2021-06-08 17:18:01 trinque: difficult to imagine what kind of incentive structure could be devised to encourage holding of own keys which *couldn't* be faked by a Coinbase
22:10 snsabot Logged on 2021-06-08 15:35:51 asciilifeform: this way, genuinely-held (i.e. control of privkey) coins 'collect interest'. but deniably, so if you park yours w/ a 3rd party, it can insist 'we got 0'.
22:11 asciilifeform ... to nitpick -- hypothetical objective aint 'cannot be faked' ; but rather 'attempting to fake it aint +ev'
22:12 asciilifeform (ANYTHING can be faked, if at arbitrary expense, with arbitrarily stupid mark)
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